VC2M10P02 Official strand: Probability

Multi-step experiments and independence

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Describe complete two- and three-step sample spaces and calculate events with changing or unchanged probabilities.

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A bag contains 3 red and 2 blue counters. Three random draws each replace and remix the counter. Find P(red, then blue, then red).

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Answer: 18/125

  1. With replacement, branch probabilities stay 3/5, 2/5, 3/5.
  2. Multiply the three independent probabilities to get 18/125.

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Curriculum reference

Victorian Curriculum F–10 Version 2.0

Pi Leo practice scope

Describe complete two- and three-step sample spaces and calculate events with changing or unchanged probabilities.

Read the official VCAA curriculum description (VC2M10P02)

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Activities to practise beyond the quiz

  • Supported by the guided activity; selecting an MCQ does not demonstrate this action.
  • Supported by the guided activity; selecting an MCQ does not demonstrate this action.
  1. VC2M10P02-C01Multiply probabilities along a specified independent sequence.
  2. VC2M10P02-C02Describe full two- and three-step outcome spaces and combined events.
  3. VC2M10P02-C03Use conditional probabilities at each stage.
  4. VC2M10P02-C04Investigate independence by comparing conditional and unconditional probabilities.
  5. VC2M10P02-C05Apply and explain multi-step experiments and independence using read and connect representations.
  6. VC2M10P02-C06Apply and explain multi-step experiments and independence using calculate and explain each step.

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Subskills

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Descriptor-derived subskills

  1. D01
    Replacement can restore the same probabilitiesMultiply probabilities along a specified independent sequence.
  2. D02
    Without replacement changes the modelUse conditional probabilities at each stage.
  3. D03
    Read and connect representationsApply and explain multi-step experiments and independence using read and connect representations.
  4. D04
    Calculate and explain each stepApply and explain multi-step experiments and independence using calculate and explain each step.
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