VC2M9P02 Official strand: Probability

And, inclusive or and exclusive or

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Estimate event probabilities from observed two-way counts without double-counting overlap.

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The table records observed events. Estimate P(inclusive or: A or B or both) from relative frequency.

Table. A, 2, 3; Not A, 2, 5 B Not B A 2 3 Not A 2 5
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Table. A, 2, 3; Not A, 2, 5

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Answer: 7/12

  1. There are 12 observations.
  2. Include the overlap once for inclusive or; exclude it for exclusive or.
  3. The required count is 7, so the estimate is 7/12.

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Curriculum reference

Victorian Curriculum F–10 Version 2.0

Pi Leo practice scope

Estimate event probabilities from observed two-way counts without double-counting overlap.

Read the official VCAA curriculum description (VC2M9P02)

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  • Supported by the guided activity; selecting an MCQ does not demonstrate this action.
  1. VC2M9P02-C01Use A or B to include observations in either event, including both.
  2. VC2M9P02-C02Collect and represent observations to estimate joint and inclusive events.
  3. VC2M9P02-C03Exclude observations where both events happen.
  4. VC2M9P02-C04Interpret observed relative frequencies for contrasting event definitions.
  5. VC2M9P02-C05Apply and explain and, inclusive or and exclusive or using read and connect representations.
  6. VC2M9P02-C06Apply and explain and, inclusive or and exclusive or using work backwards from what is known.

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Descriptor-derived subskills

  1. D01
    Include both as wellUse A or B to include observations in either event, including both.
  2. D02
    Exactly one eventExclude observations where both events happen.
  3. D03
    Read and connect representationsApply and explain and, inclusive or and exclusive or using read and connect representations.
  4. D04
    Work backwards from what is knownApply and explain and, inclusive or and exclusive or using work backwards from what is known.
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